Ousmane Dembele‘s future isn’t as certain as one might have thought despite signing a contract with Barcelona in July that runs until 2024.
Many were caught off guard when it was announced it was a two-year deal because when a 25-year-old player signs a new contract, it’s usually for four or five years.
It was even more surprising given everything that happened last winter when he was on the verge of leaving the Blaugrana. However, the Frenchman opted for a short-term renewal.
With such a short commitment it’s clear that consistency will have a big say on his future.
First of all because of the peculiarity of his termination clause.
Although many things have been said about it, the reality is Dembele can leave Barcelona for 100 million euros and the club would be able to do nothing about it.
If someone wants him today or during the next winter market, they will have to pay that figure.
Half price in two months
However, this amount changes in the summer. Ousmane’s clause drops to only 50 million in June and July 2023.
The reduction only lasts for those two months because as of August 1 it returns to 100 million.
The reason for the increase at that time and not when the transfer market ends is so clubs don’t make a move in the final days which would leave Barcelona scrambling for a replacement.
Less than his market value
As of today, paying 50 million for Dembele is a bargain. Just look at the millions being paid for players of his level.
You only have to look at Barcelona, who paid 55 million plus variables for Ferran Torres last winter and 48, plus bonuses, for Raphinha last summer.
If that figure is a bargain today, a strong showing in the World Cup would only strengthen that assertion.
His price is on the rise
Dembele‘s growth in recent months is unquestionable. First of all, he’s once again become a regular for France after previously being dropped by Didier Deschamps.
His market value has skyrocketed after becoming a regular starter for Xavi.
According to Transfermarkt, which puts a market price on players, Dembele‘s value has doubled in just six months.
On January 1 this year it was 30 million euros. Shortly after, Ousmane stayed at Barcelona because Xavi didn’t want to lose him.
He began playing regularly and his market value rose to 50 million at the end of last season.
He is now worth, according to Transfermarkt, 60 million, 10 more than his termination clause for the months of June and July.
Although the clause is affordable, we must also take into account his costs and this is no longer a small figure. He earns about 16 million gross fixed plus another four million in variables.
This is higher than what he earned last season, although it is lower than the renewal offer that Barcelona made him in 2021 and took back last December.
Any team that wants to sign him to a five-year contract must take into account that the annual book value of the player will be at least 26 million, which adds his salary plus the millions of annual amortization of the transfer for a five-year contract.